December 1, 2008
Although it was widely expected, today's news that the San Diego Padres did not offer arbitration to Trevor Hoffman shut the door to an era of San Diego baseball with a resounding clang.
It said loud and clear that we would never hear Hell's Bells to signal Trevor's entrance into a game.
It clearly showed the direction of the team and shown a bright light on the insincerity of any attempts by the Front Office to even say they tried to sign the future Hall of Fame player and Padres Icon.
Goodbye Trevor.
You were loved by many and will be missed by all.
Monday, December 01, 2008
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Now the offseason starts in earnest
November 30, 2008
Every year we see the same pattern on most major signings and trades.
Teams wait until they know what they they will have to give up for Type A Free Agents before making their big moves.
And they don't know that until after the Free Agents are either offered arbitration or allowed to leave without compensation.
Some teams will not offer arbitration on players they don't have in their future plans or that would be prohibitively expensive.
Others will be offered arbitration either in hopes of giving the team more time to negotiate a long term deal or to ensure they receive a 1st round draft pick and a sandwich pick as compensation if that player leaves in Free Agency.
A good example of a Type A free agent player that likely will not be offered arbitration is Trevor Hoffman.
As Tom Krasovic of the Union Tribune and Corey Brock of MLB.com have said, Hoffman would likely garner a larger salary in 2009 than either the $4 million he was offered or the $7.5 million he made in 2008 making him much to expensive for the salary cutting Padres.
Kerry Wood of the Cubs would be another player likely not to be offered arbitration. Wood would likely receive $9-10 million in arbitration and the Cubs have recently traded for closer Kevin Gregg, although Yahoo seems to disagree with just about every other media outlet on this matter.
Type A Free Agent players that are expected to be offered arbitration include those that are likely to sign high dollar value, long term contracts.
CC Sabathia, Mark Teixeira, Edgar Renteria, Manny Ramirez, AJ Burnett and K Rod are just a few that are expected to receive an arbitration offer tomorrow.
After that, the fun begins and the hot stove begins to heat up.
Are you ready for some baseball?
Every year we see the same pattern on most major signings and trades.
Teams wait until they know what they they will have to give up for Type A Free Agents before making their big moves.
And they don't know that until after the Free Agents are either offered arbitration or allowed to leave without compensation.
Some teams will not offer arbitration on players they don't have in their future plans or that would be prohibitively expensive.
Others will be offered arbitration either in hopes of giving the team more time to negotiate a long term deal or to ensure they receive a 1st round draft pick and a sandwich pick as compensation if that player leaves in Free Agency.
A good example of a Type A free agent player that likely will not be offered arbitration is Trevor Hoffman.
As Tom Krasovic of the Union Tribune and Corey Brock of MLB.com have said, Hoffman would likely garner a larger salary in 2009 than either the $4 million he was offered or the $7.5 million he made in 2008 making him much to expensive for the salary cutting Padres.
Kerry Wood of the Cubs would be another player likely not to be offered arbitration. Wood would likely receive $9-10 million in arbitration and the Cubs have recently traded for closer Kevin Gregg, although Yahoo seems to disagree with just about every other media outlet on this matter.
Type A Free Agent players that are expected to be offered arbitration include those that are likely to sign high dollar value, long term contracts.
CC Sabathia, Mark Teixeira, Edgar Renteria, Manny Ramirez, AJ Burnett and K Rod are just a few that are expected to receive an arbitration offer tomorrow.
After that, the fun begins and the hot stove begins to heat up.
Are you ready for some baseball?
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Peavy trade is NOT dead!
Tuesday November 18, 2008
I keep hearing rumors that the Peavy trade is dead. That he will be a Padre next year.
I don't think anyone who follows baseball closely thought Peavy would be the first deal of the year. So why are so many lamenting or celebrating the fact that he hasn't been traded already?
Of the big deals to be made CC will sign undoubtedly first and set the tone and ceiling for all the other signings and trades.
Once CC has found a $140+ million home, then all the other guys will have an idea of what they can ask for.
Burnett, Lowe and company will have a better idea what they are worth in this market once Sabathia is signed. Once those guys get serious offers and the Braves/Cubs/Mets/etc... can't match them, THEN Peavy will be traded to the Braves or Cubs or whomever.
I read that Wren said they were not actively pursuing a trade for Peavy.
I read where Towers said the trade with the Braves was dead and that the Cubs were the only option.
Do they all think we are stupid?
Of COURSE Atlanta is still in the running for Peavy. They are POSTURING! They are trying to say, "we have other options to pursue" so we won't give as much as you are asking for.
Well, unless they are going to outbid the Yankees, then they are not going to sign Sabathia, Burnett or Lowe.
Who else could possibly be an option that would preclude trading for Peavy? No one!
We know the Braves don't WANT to give up top prospects, who does, but they WILL give up top prospects for a pitcher of Peavy's caliber when push comes to shove.
With the recent signing of Dempster and the offers we have seen from the Yankees to Sabathia and Burnett, it is highly likely that the Braves will break down and give the Padres what they are asking for, regardless of what Wren is trying to feed the media.
Dempster signed for 4 years at $13 million per year.
Sabathia was offered 6 years/$140 million earlier this week.
Burnett was offered 5 years/$80 million today.
So what is a CY Young winning, 27 year old pitcher worth over the next 5 years? Certainly more than the $78 million contract he is currently signed to.
I would guess more than the Braves were offering the Padres for him prior to the start of free agent players being able to negotiate with every team on the 14th.
And I am not the only one that thinks that that a trade for Peavy will eventually happen before teh start of the 2009 season.
Petter Gammons seems to think so.
Frank Wren apparently told Peter Gammons he thinks the Braves will get the trade done. Yes the same Braves GM Wren who said just 3 days ago that active negotiations were over.
In a conversation with Corey Brock of MLB.com, Kevin Towers said that he wasn't ruling out continued negotiations with the Braves.
So please, no more about this trade being done. Its still November. We won't even see pitchers and catchers reporting to spring training until February. If you see Peavy reporting to the Padres camp in Peoria, then it may be dead. until then it is very much alive.
I keep hearing rumors that the Peavy trade is dead. That he will be a Padre next year.
I don't think anyone who follows baseball closely thought Peavy would be the first deal of the year. So why are so many lamenting or celebrating the fact that he hasn't been traded already?
Of the big deals to be made CC will sign undoubtedly first and set the tone and ceiling for all the other signings and trades.
Once CC has found a $140+ million home, then all the other guys will have an idea of what they can ask for.
Burnett, Lowe and company will have a better idea what they are worth in this market once Sabathia is signed. Once those guys get serious offers and the Braves/Cubs/Mets/etc... can't match them, THEN Peavy will be traded to the Braves or Cubs or whomever.
I read that Wren said they were not actively pursuing a trade for Peavy.
I read where Towers said the trade with the Braves was dead and that the Cubs were the only option.
Do they all think we are stupid?
Of COURSE Atlanta is still in the running for Peavy. They are POSTURING! They are trying to say, "we have other options to pursue" so we won't give as much as you are asking for.
Well, unless they are going to outbid the Yankees, then they are not going to sign Sabathia, Burnett or Lowe.
Who else could possibly be an option that would preclude trading for Peavy? No one!
We know the Braves don't WANT to give up top prospects, who does, but they WILL give up top prospects for a pitcher of Peavy's caliber when push comes to shove.
With the recent signing of Dempster and the offers we have seen from the Yankees to Sabathia and Burnett, it is highly likely that the Braves will break down and give the Padres what they are asking for, regardless of what Wren is trying to feed the media.
Dempster signed for 4 years at $13 million per year.
Sabathia was offered 6 years/$140 million earlier this week.
Burnett was offered 5 years/$80 million today.
So what is a CY Young winning, 27 year old pitcher worth over the next 5 years? Certainly more than the $78 million contract he is currently signed to.
I would guess more than the Braves were offering the Padres for him prior to the start of free agent players being able to negotiate with every team on the 14th.
And I am not the only one that thinks that that a trade for Peavy will eventually happen before teh start of the 2009 season.
Petter Gammons seems to think so.
Frank Wren apparently told Peter Gammons he thinks the Braves will get the trade done. Yes the same Braves GM Wren who said just 3 days ago that active negotiations were over.
In a conversation with Corey Brock of MLB.com, Kevin Towers said that he wasn't ruling out continued negotiations with the Braves.
So please, no more about this trade being done. Its still November. We won't even see pitchers and catchers reporting to spring training until February. If you see Peavy reporting to the Padres camp in Peoria, then it may be dead. until then it is very much alive.
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