Monday April 26, 2010
The Twins signing of Joe Mauer earlier this year to an 8 year, $23 million per season extension was one major nail in the coffin of the Padres chances of retaining Adrian Gonzalez beyond 2010.
The final nail may have been struck today with the Philadelphia Phillies signing of Ryan Howard to a 5 year, $125 million extension.
The low budget Padres (even the team record $73 million payroll in 2008 would still rank the Padres 19th or 20th in baseball in 2010) simply cannot afford to sign Gonzalez to an extension that according to media and GM's around baseball would fall somewhere between Mark Teixeira's $21 million per season and Howard's $25 million per season.
From a scouts perspective Gonzalez is the most intriguing player that may come available in the NL. He hits for what amounts to a high average and exceptional power in any other park while playing TRUE Gold Glove caliber defense at 1B.
Gonzalez plays his home games in Petco, so you really only need to look at his road numbers, .301/.370/.572/.943 for his career, when making comparisons to other players around the league. Overall, only Pujols and Fielders number compare favorably to Gonzalez at 1B, which puts him in very elite company.
So unless Gonzalez is willing to take an enormous San Diego discount, think something like $4-8 million per season discount on a deal like Holiday's 7yr/$120 million contract to stay a Padre, chances are the signing of Mauer, a catcher, to $23 million per year and now Howard to $25 million per year has ended any chances the Padres have of signing him to an extension.
Enjoy him while you can Padres fans. Regardless of how well the Padres play in 2010, and so far they have played pretty well, Gonzalez will not be a Padre in 2011.
- Vic Power
The next discussion? Which of 8 or 9 teams can afford to sign Adrian Gonzalez long term?
Monday, April 26, 2010
Big Changes coming at Websoulsurfer
Monday April 26, 2010
There are some big changes coming at Websoulsurfer.com
1st the Good News:
In the coming days you will have the pleasure of reading two and possibly several more new writers.
Our first new writer, Vic, has been around professional baseball for more than 30 years as a player, coach, and scout. Baseball's loss in his retirement for health reasons, is our gain. He will bring a unique viewpoint to the articles he posts. If we can figure out the logistics, you will see his first article today.
Our second new writer is a well known fan and I will let him introduce himself when he begins his posts with the next home stand. All I can say is these will the only articles of their kind in Padredom.
The new look for the site is coming. I got great comments about the preview we posted, although we may make a move to WordPress to make multiple authors easier.
Now for the Bad News:
I will not be writing articles for Websoulsurfer in the near future. Well, some of you may take that as a good news. LOL
The reason? One Padres blogger took it upon himself to reveal my identity to one of my company's clients, who asked me not to post on this blog to avoid any appearance of a conflict of interest.
I have been very careful about keeping any knowledge gained from my professional interactions separate from the things I have posted about, but I have to make our clients view of this situation my primary consideration and stop posting about baseball and the Padres in particular.
My thanks goes out to Geoff at Ducksnorts, Steve at Friarhood, and Daniel at Friar Forecast, who despite my sometimes contrarian viewpoint, have encouraged me to write.
Don't think this means you are getting rid of me for good though, in my best Terminator impersonation, I'll be back.
Go Padres!
- Web
There are some big changes coming at Websoulsurfer.com
1st the Good News:
In the coming days you will have the pleasure of reading two and possibly several more new writers.
Our first new writer, Vic, has been around professional baseball for more than 30 years as a player, coach, and scout. Baseball's loss in his retirement for health reasons, is our gain. He will bring a unique viewpoint to the articles he posts. If we can figure out the logistics, you will see his first article today.
Our second new writer is a well known fan and I will let him introduce himself when he begins his posts with the next home stand. All I can say is these will the only articles of their kind in Padredom.
The new look for the site is coming. I got great comments about the preview we posted, although we may make a move to WordPress to make multiple authors easier.
Now for the Bad News:
I will not be writing articles for Websoulsurfer in the near future. Well, some of you may take that as a good news. LOL
The reason? One Padres blogger took it upon himself to reveal my identity to one of my company's clients, who asked me not to post on this blog to avoid any appearance of a conflict of interest.
I have been very careful about keeping any knowledge gained from my professional interactions separate from the things I have posted about, but I have to make our clients view of this situation my primary consideration and stop posting about baseball and the Padres in particular.
My thanks goes out to Geoff at Ducksnorts, Steve at Friarhood, and Daniel at Friar Forecast, who despite my sometimes contrarian viewpoint, have encouraged me to write.
Don't think this means you are getting rid of me for good though, in my best Terminator impersonation, I'll be back.
Go Padres!
- Web
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Why are we force fed the Yankees and Red Sox?
Saturday April 10, 2010
I turn on MLB on Fox for the national game and what team do I see? If I turn on ESPN networks what teams will I see most often?
Well the odds are that I will see either the Yankees or the Red Sox or both of them.
Those two teams were seen on national games (Fox, ESPN & TBS) more times last season than any other division in baseball with all their teams combined.
This year they are currently scheduled for more appearances than any other division in baseball this season. NOT including the Opening Day game on ESPN a day before any other team got to play, there are 18 scheduled for the Yankees so far, 18 for the Red Sox of 109 total games.
Of the 7 TBS games currently scheduled, 5 include either the Yankees or Red Sox. 71.4% of the games!
National Broadcast Schedule
ESPN only schedules their Sunday Night games into July and after that they can pick any teams they want. Last season more often than not that was the Yankees or the Red Sox.
You wonder why those two teams have more money than other teams to spend on players and scouts and the other things that make you a consistent winner? Wonder no more.
They get paid for each of these appearances. If they get more of them than all the other teams, how is that creating an even playing field?
All the national games also means more Yankees and Red Sox merchandise being sold because all those people not living in the 30 cities that have MLB teams are buying the stuff of the teams they see on TV most. How is that creating an even playing field?
How many times were the Padres on national TV last season? Twice. (They were scheduled for 3 games just as they are this season, but only made two broadcasts)
How many times were the Yankees on national games last season?
15 games against the Red Sox (of 18?). 26 games against other opponents. For a total of 41 games.
How many times were the Red Sox on National Games last season?
15 games against the Yankees. 26 games against other opponents. For a total of 41 games.
How many games were broadcast nationally on ESPN, Fox and TBS total?
As far as I could find - 108.
You may have noticed I have not included MLB Network. I did that because its viewership is too small to be called national.
I turn on MLB on Fox for the national game and what team do I see? If I turn on ESPN networks what teams will I see most often?
Well the odds are that I will see either the Yankees or the Red Sox or both of them.
Those two teams were seen on national games (Fox, ESPN & TBS) more times last season than any other division in baseball with all their teams combined.
This year they are currently scheduled for more appearances than any other division in baseball this season. NOT including the Opening Day game on ESPN a day before any other team got to play, there are 18 scheduled for the Yankees so far, 18 for the Red Sox of 109 total games.
Of the 7 TBS games currently scheduled, 5 include either the Yankees or Red Sox. 71.4% of the games!
National Broadcast Schedule
| Sat, Apr 10 | 3:10 PM | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | FOX |
| Sat, Apr 10 | 3:10 PM | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | FOX |
| Sat, Apr 10 | 3:10 PM | St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers | FOX |
| Sun, Apr 11 | 1:40 PM | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | TBS |
| Sun, Apr 11 | 8:05 PM | St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers | ESPN |
| Mon, Apr 12 | 4:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | Minnesota Twins | ESPN |
| Wed, Apr 14 | 8:15 PM | Houston Astros | St. Louis Cardinals | ESPN2 |
| Sat, Apr 17 | 4:10 PM | Chicago White Sox | Cleveland Indians | FOX |
| Sat, Apr 17 | 4:10 PM | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers | FOX |
| Sat, Apr 17 | 4:10 PM | New York Mets | St. Louis Cardinals | FOX |
| Sun, Apr 18 | 1:35 PM | Tampa Bay Rays | Boston Red Sox | TBS |
| Sun, Apr 18 | 8:05 PM | New York Mets | St. Louis Cardinals | ESPN |
| Mon, Apr 19 | 7:10 PM | Chicago Cubs | New York Mets | ESPN |
| Sat, Apr 24 | 4:10 PM | Seattle Mariners | Chicago White Sox | FOX |
| Sat, Apr 24 | 4:10 PM | New York Yankees | Los Angeles Angels | FOX |
| Sun, Apr 25 | 2:10 PM | Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee Brewers | TBS |
| Sun, Apr 25 | 8:05 PM | Atlanta Braves | New York Mets | ESPN |
| Mon, Apr 26 | 7:10 PM | Los Angeles Dodgers | New York Mets | ESPN |
| Sat, May 1 | 3:10 PM | Houston Astros | Atlanta Braves | FOX |
| Sat, May 1 | 3:10 PM | New York Mets | Philadelphia Phillies | FOX |
| Sat, May 1 | 3:10 PM | Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | FOX |
| Sun, May 2 | 1:05 PM | Chicago White Sox | New York Yankees | TBS |
| Sun, May 2 | 8:05 PM | New York Mets | Philadelphia Phillies | ESPN |
| Mon, May 3 | 7:10 PM | Los Angeles Angels | Boston Red Sox | ESPN |
| Sat, May 8 | 3:10 PM | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies | FOX |
| Sat, May 8 | 3:10 PM | New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | FOX |
| Sun, May 9 | 1:35 PM | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies | TBS |
| Sun, May 9 | 8:05 PM | New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | ESPN |
| Mon, May 10 | 7:05 PM | New York Yankees | Detroit Tigers | ESPN |
| Sat, May 15 | 4:10 PM | Seattle Mariners | Tampa Bay Rays | FOX |
| Sat, May 15 | 4:10 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers | FOX |
| Sat, May 15 | 4:10 PM | Houston Astros | San Francisco Giants | FOX |
| Sun, May 16 | 1:05 PM | Minnesota Twins | New York Yankees | TBS |
| Sun, May 16 | 8:05 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | Milwaukee Brewers | ESPN |
| Mon, May 17 | 7:05 PM | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees | ESPN |
| Sat, May 22 | 7:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | Philadelphia Phillies | FOX |
| Sat, May 22 | 7:10 PM | Chicago Cubs | Texas Rangers | FOX |
| Sat, May 22 | 7:10 PM | Detroit Tigers | Los Angeles Dodgers | FOX |
| Sat, May 22 | 7:10 PM | New York Yankees | New York Mets | FOX |
| Sun, May 23 | 1:35 PM | Boston Red Sox | Philadelphia Phillies | TBS |
| Sun, May 23 | 8:05 PM | New York Yankees | New York Mets | ESPN |
| Mon, May 24 | 7:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | ESPN |
| Sat, May 29 | TBD | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels | FOX |
| Sat, May 29 | 4:10 PM | St. Louis Cardinals | Chicago Cubs | FOX |
| Sat, May 29 | 4:10 PM | Texas Rangers | Minnesota Twins | FOX |
| Sun, May 30 | 2:20 PM | St. Louis Cardinals | Chicago Cubs | TBS |
| Sun, May 30 | 8:05 PM | Texas Rangers | Minnesota Twins | ESPN2 |
| Tue, Jun 1 | 7:10 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | ESPN |
| Sat, Jun 5 | 4:10 PM | Los Angeles Angels | Seattle Mariners | FOX |
| Sat, Jun 5 | 4:10 PM | Florida Marlins | New York Mets | FOX |
| Sat, Jun 5 | 4:10 PM | Milwaukee Brewers | St. Louis Cardinals | FOX |
| Mon, Jun 7 | 7:05 PM | Boston Red Sox | Cleveland Indians | ESPN |
| Sat, Jun 12 | 4:10 PM | Chicago White Sox | Chicago Cubs | FOX |
| Sat, Jun 12 | 4:10 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | Boston Red Sox | FOX |
| Mon, Jun 14 | 8:15 PM | Seattle Mariners | St. Louis Cardinals | ESPN |
| Sat, Jun 19 | 4:10 PM | Los Angeles Dodgers | Boston Red Sox | FOX |
| Sat, Jun 19 | 4:10 PM | Minnesota Twins | Philadelphia Phillies | FOX |
| Mon, Jun 21 | 9:40 PM | New York Yankees | Arizona Diamondbacks | ESPN |
| Sat, Jun 26 | 7:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | San Francisco Giants | FOX |
| Sat, Jun 26 | 7:10 PM | Chicago Cubs | Chicago White Sox | FOX |
| Sat, Jun 26 | 7:10 PM | New York Yankees | Los Angeles Dodgers | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 3 | 4:10 PM | Florida Marlins | Atlanta Braves | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 3 | 4:10 PM | Milwaukee Brewers | St. Louis Cardinals | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 3 | 4:10 PM | Tampa Bay Rays | Minnesota Twins | FOX |
| Sun, Jul 4 | 8:15 PM | Kansas City Royals | Los Angeles Angels | ESPN |
| Mon, Jul 5 | 7:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | Tampa Bay Rays | ESPN |
| Sat, Jul 10 | 4:10 PM | Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Dodgers | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 10 | 4:10 PM | Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 10 | 4:10 PM | Atlanta Braves | New York Mets | FOX |
| Sun, Jul 11 | 8:05 PM | Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Dodgers | ESPN |
| Sat, Jul 17 | 4:10 PM | Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 17 | 4:10 PM | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | FOX |
| Sun, Jul 18 | 8:05 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs | ESPN |
| Mon, Jul 19 | 8:15 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | St. Louis Cardinals | ESPN |
| Sat, Jul 24 | 4:10 PM | Colorado Rockies | Philadelphia Phillies | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 24 | 4:10 PM | Minnesota Twins | Baltimore Orioles | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 24 | 4:10 PM | New York Mets | Los Angeles Dodgers | FOX |
| Mon, Jul 26 | 7:05 PM | New York Yankees | Cleveland Indians | ESPN |
| Sat, Jul 31 | 4:10 PM | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 31 | 4:10 PM | Seattle Mariners | Minnesota Twins | FOX |
| Sat, Jul 31 | 4:10 PM | Detroit Tigers | Boston Red Sox | FOX |
| Mon, Aug 2 | 7:10 PM | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | ESPN |
| Sat, Aug 7 | 4:10 PM | San Francisco Giants | Atlanta Braves | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 7 | 4:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | New York Yankees | FOX |
| Mon, Aug 9 | 7:10 PM | St. Louis Cardinals | Cincinnati Reds | ESPN |
| Sat, Aug 14 | 4:10 PM | Chicago Cubs | St. Louis Cardinals | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 14 | 4:10 PM | San Diego Padres | San Francisco Giants | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 14 | 4:10 PM | Baltimore Orioles | Tampa Bay Rays | FOX |
| Wed, Aug 18 | 7:05 PM | Detroit Tigers | New York Yankees | ESPN |
| Sat, Aug 21 | 4:10 PM | Atlanta Braves | Chicago Cubs | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 21 | 4:10 PM | Texas Rangers | Baltimore Orioles | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 21 | 4:10 PM | Los Angeles Angels | Minnesota Twins | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 28 | 4:10 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | San Diego Padres | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 28 | 4:10 PM | Florida Marlins | Atlanta Braves | FOX |
| Sat, Aug 28 | 4:10 PM | Minnesota Twins | Seattle Mariners | FOX |
| Wed, Sep 1 | 7:10 PM | New York Mets | Atlanta Braves | ESPN |
| Sat, Sep 4 | 4:10 PM | Los Angeles Angels | Oakland Athletics | FOX |
| Sat, Sep 4 | 4:10 PM | New York Mets | Chicago Cubs | FOX |
| Sat, Sep 4 | 4:10 PM | Texas Rangers | Minnesota Twins | FOX |
| Wed, Sep 8 | 7:10 PM | Tampa Bay Rays | Boston Red Sox | ESPN |
| Sat, Sep 11 | TBD | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels | FOX |
| Sat, Sep 11 | 4:10 PM | St. Louis Cardinals | Atlanta Braves | FOX |
| Sat, Sep 11 | 4:10 PM | Philadelphia Phillies | New York Mets | FOX |
| Wed, Sep 15 | 8:15 PM | Chicago Cubs | St. Louis Cardinals | ESPN |
| Sat, Sep 18 | 4:10 PM | Atlanta Braves | New York Mets | FOX |
| Sat, Sep 18 | 4:10 PM | Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | FOX |
| Sat, Sep 18 | 4:10 PM | Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox | FOX |
| Wed, Sep 22 | 7:05 PM | Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees | ESPN |
| Wed, Sep 29 | 8:10 PM | Boston Red Sox | Chicago White Sox | ESPN |
ESPN only schedules their Sunday Night games into July and after that they can pick any teams they want. Last season more often than not that was the Yankees or the Red Sox.
You wonder why those two teams have more money than other teams to spend on players and scouts and the other things that make you a consistent winner? Wonder no more.
They get paid for each of these appearances. If they get more of them than all the other teams, how is that creating an even playing field?
All the national games also means more Yankees and Red Sox merchandise being sold because all those people not living in the 30 cities that have MLB teams are buying the stuff of the teams they see on TV most. How is that creating an even playing field?
How many times were the Padres on national TV last season? Twice. (They were scheduled for 3 games just as they are this season, but only made two broadcasts)
How many times were the Yankees on national games last season?
15 games against the Red Sox (of 18?). 26 games against other opponents. For a total of 41 games.
How many times were the Red Sox on National Games last season?
15 games against the Yankees. 26 games against other opponents. For a total of 41 games.
How many games were broadcast nationally on ESPN, Fox and TBS total?
As far as I could find - 108.
You may have noticed I have not included MLB Network. I did that because its viewership is too small to be called national.
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