Monday, August 31, 2009

Peavy Update

Monday August 31, 2009

From Jon Heyman on Twitter, Peavy's elbow soreness is just a bruise from being hit by the line drive in his last outing.

For Peavy's sake I hope so. He has always been a favorite Padre of mine and I hope he gets healthy and pitches again soon.

Padres post 1st winning month of the 2009 season

Monday August 31, 2009

Tim Stauffer threw 6 1/3 innings of 5 hit ball and was backed up by nice defense and RBI doubles from David Eckstein and Kevin Kouzmanoff in the 1st to get his 3rd win of the season, 3-1 over the Washington Nationals at Petco Park tonight.

Chase Headley added an insurance run with a 414 foot solo blast to RF in the 8th and Heath Bell came in to record his 32nd save of the season and 18th save in 18 opportunities at Petco.

With the win the Padres improved to 15-14 on the month, their first winning month of the 2009 season.

Its stretches like this that give you hope for 2010. Without Peavy and Young and with 8 other guys on the DL, the Padres still pull out a winning month.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Bud Black is an idiot

Sunday August 30, 2009

In what many expect to be Mat Latos' last game of the season, Bud Black left him in the game to get pounded in the 4th inning.

Bud Black, for a former pitcher, has absolutely no recognition of when a pitcher is done.

There was no reason to leave Latos in to take the 5 run beating he did. After allowing 2 singles and walk it was evident that Latos was done. He was missing badly with all of his pitches having throw 6 pitches in the dirt and three higher than the batters heads in just 4 batters. Balsley had already been out to the mound to talk to him.

The next batter drove in two runs on a single back up the middle on a batting practice pitch. This is when Latos should have been pulled from the game.

There was no reason for Black to leave him in to throw even one more pitch.

Instead Black left him in and he walked the next batter. Why didn't Black take Latos out at that point? A good manager would have. Nope, Black left him in until he allowed a hit that drove in 3 more runs.

Now this kid will have all off season to think about how he gave up 5 runs in his last outing.

I cannot think of a single way in which Black could have mismanaged a young pitcher in a worse manner. Black is totally clueless.

Latos gets last start of the season

Sunday August 30, 2009

San Diego Padres top prospect Mat Latos gets the start in Land Shark Stadium today against the Florida Marlins.

From what we have been hearing from Padres brass, this should be the last time we get to see Latos take the mound this season.

Latos had just 56 innings pitched in 2008 and the Padres GM Kevin Towers has said on several occasions that Latos would be limited to about 110-120 innings on the season. Young pitchers are much more prone to injury when they more than double the innings they pitched the previous season.

While I don't think it matters much to the Padres organization, many fans are hoping that Latos is limited to just 5 1/3 innings today in order for him to still be eligible for Rookie of the Year voting in 2010.

They may be out of luck, as through 3 today Latos is doing quite well and has throw only 43 pitches.

On a side note:
Adrian Gonzalez gets his second game off at 1st base with what the team described as a strained right bicep. We can only hope that the injury is not serious.

Oscar Salazar gets the start at 1B again today after going 3 for 4 last night.

Peavy Update

Sunday August 30, 2009

Jake Peavy left today's game during a rehab start for the Chicago White Sox AAA affiliate in Charlotte with tightness in his right elbow after just 3 1/3 innings. This is the same elbow that got whacked by a line drive in his last start.

Peavy is going to Chicago to be examined by team doctors on Monday. If it is serious, he may be shut down for the rest of the season.

Does this injury sound familiar? Didn't Jake suffer from this injury as a Padre last season? Didn't Cha Seung Baek have tightness in his elbow? Wasn't Shawn Hill suffering from the same affliction before he was lost for the season?

I like Jake Peavy a lot, so for his sake I hope I am wrong, but this is the type of nagging injury that seems to lead to Tommy John surgery as often as not.

Good luck to you Jake. You have my prayers that you have many opportunities to beat the Yankees, Tigers and other Padres nemesis' in your career going forward.

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Padres win the game and 7th series in past 10

Saturday August 29th, 2009

The Padres came back from an early deficit to take the game 7-4 over the Florida Marlins at Landshark Stadium today.

The Padres have now won 5 series this month and improved their record to 14-13 for the month of August. It is also their 7th series win out of their past 10.

Wade LeBlanc, who was called up yesterday, went 6 innings and gave up 4 runs on 2 walks and also contributed a single of his own.

Will Venable hit his 9th home run of the season, a solo shot in the 4th, and scored 2 runs.

Kevin Kouzmanoff came through in the clutch again and drove in the tying run with a single in the 7th. It was his 75th rbi of the season.

Tony Gwynn drove in what proved to be the winning runs with a triple in the 8th.

Oscar Salazar, who was filling in for Adrian Gonzalez at 1B, went 3-4 and drove in a run.

The Padres are still looking for their first series sweep of the year on the road.

Blanks done for the year?

Saturday August 29, 2009

Kyle Blanks went on the 15 day disabled list today with a foot injury he re-aggravated while jogging around the bases after crushing his 10th home run of the season in yesterday's game.

Could we have seen the last of Blanks in 2009?

It is quite possible that the Padres will just rest him the rest of the season instead of risking aggravating the plantar fasciitis that Blanks is suffering from.

While Blanks will not be eligible for ROY honors in 2010 (45 days on the active roster or 130 abs is the limit), he will undoubtedly still be listed as a top prospect by Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus and other prospect ranking services.

With the emergence of Mat Latos, international free agent prospects and the 2008 draftees, the Padres may be looking at a Top 10 organizational ranking for prospects in 2010 after being ranking near last in 2009.

Adrian Gonzalez gets a day off

Saturday August 29, 2009

Adrian Gonzalez gets a well deserved day off against the Florida Marlins today at Land Shark Stadium.

This is only the 6th game Adrian has not started for the Padres this season. He has batted in all but one game.

Oscar Salazar takes his place at 1B.

Friday, August 28, 2009

Pads Win, Pads Win, Pads Win

Friday August 28, 2009

The San Diego Padres bats woke up tonight as they pounded out 16 hits and 9 runs in a win over the Florida Marlins at Land Shark Stadium.

Everth Cabrera was a human highlight machine tonight going 2 for 6 with a stolen base, scored 2 runs, drove in 2 runs and made 4 outstanding plays in the field.

David Eckstein continued to be white hot with runners in scoring position, going 2 for 2 in those situations and 3 for 6 overall.

Kevin Correia was uninspiring again tonight giving up 11 hits and 4 runs in 6 2/3 but got extremely lucky as the Padres defense pulled his fat out of the fire time after time. It was the 2nd straight game in which he gave up 10+ hits. Thanks to being staked to 7 runs in the first 3 innings, Correia got his 9th win of the season.

Someone on the Padres staff should have noticed by now that when Correia's left foot starts popping towards first on his follow through, his pitches start missing up.

After crushing a 2 run shot over the 434 ft sign in Left Center, Kyle Blanks re-injured his foot rounding 1st base. It was Blanks 10th home run in just 148 at bats, a 40 home run per season pace.

The Marlins Chris Volstad continued his run of bad outings giving up 6 runs in 1 2/3 innings on 6 hits and 2 walks.

Hanley Ramirez went 2 for 4 for the Marlins to raise his National League leading average to .366. It was his 3rd multi-hit game during a 5 game hitting streak and 5th in the last 10 games.

Thursday, August 27, 2009

Adjusting Averages for Petco

Thursday August 27, 2009

It gets really old hearing people talk about how poor the Padres hitters are, when in reality they are pretty good, they just play in the toughest park in baseball to get a hit in.

How tough is it to hit at Petco?

Well, batting averages are 20% lower in Petco for home and visiting players combined than in a league average ball park.

So when you see a Padres players batting average just multiply by 1.10 and then you can get a fairly accurate number with which to compare him to other players around the league.

Kevin Kouzmanoff is hitting .256. Multiplied by 1.10 = .282. His .289 batting average on the road shows that number is just about right on the money.

For home runs Petco is even more stingy. On average, left handed batters hit 40% less home run in Petco. So just multiply a Padres players total by 1.20 and you will get about how many home runs they would hit if they played in a league average park.

For Adrian that number is substantial. 34 x 1.20 is 40.8. WOW! And his 23 home runs on the road this season shows that number to be correct.

RH batters "only" hit 27.5% less home runs, so multiply their numbers by 1.1375.

So when you start looking at the stats or reading articles about how well or poorly Padres hitters are doing, do the Park Factor translation.

That will give you a truer measure of their production.

Everybody Hits!

Wednesday August 26, 2009

Every Padres position player had a hit and scored a run. Both pinch hitters also got a hit and scored a run. In fact Padres batters had 18 hits in a 12-5 win tonight over the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field. With the win the Padres locked down a series win against Atlanta.

If it wasn't for the Cardinals, the Padres would have won 6 of their last 7 series, with the only series lost being the one to the Braves at Petco earlier this month. Even with the 2 series lost to St Louis, the Padres have won 6 of their last 9.

David Eckstein and Adrian Gonzalez led the attack going 3 for 5 and Kevin Kouzmanoff added his 16 home run of the season, a 2 run blast to CF in the 7th.

After giving up a 3 run home run to Brian McCann in the bottom of the 1st, Padres starter Tim Stauffer settled down to throw 4 scoreless innings before being taken out for a pinch hitter in the top of the 6th. The Padres 6 run 6th staked the bullpen to a 6-3 lead and Stauffer got the win, his 2nd of the season and 1st win since July 30 against 4 August losses.

Stauffer's line tonight - 3 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in 5 innings.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Welcome and a Reminder about Comments

Wednesday August 26, 2009

Welcome to Websoulsurfer!

For those of your who are visiting Websoulsurfer for the first time, Welcome!

For those of you who are regular visitors, Welcome Back!

I hope you enjoy reading our posts. We certainly enjoy writing them.

Like I said originally, you will not always agree with us and sometimes what we have to say will make you mad. Heck, sometimes it is intended to make you mad since we may be angry about that subject ourselves.

One of my first posts was the following:


On a fan based message board I frequent I was recently called, and I quote, "A curmudgeon whose pompous, pedantic diatribes you call posts filled with endless stats, links and quotes are better suited to a blog then a fan board"

I think this was intended as an insult, but all in all its a fairly accurate and flattering statement.

Without knowing it, the poster stated that my posts were thorough, contained facts and quotes to give background to my commentary and a bibliography of links to provide confirmation.

Exactly what I look for in a baseball blog.

I freely admit I am bombastic at times, and opinionated most of the time and you can sometimes correctly characterize my posts as diatribes and I am 100% sure that you won't agree with me 100% of the time.

But you will be entertained!

That is our purpose, to entertain.

We hope that the 5000 + visitors we have had over the past 10 months have also been informed, amused, angered, and/or delighted, but most of all, Entertained.


We welcome your comments and enjoy reading all of them, even the ones that are angry with us or don't agree with our opinions.

As we have stated in the past, we reserve the right to publish or not publish any comments and will no longer publish any that are anonymous or that contain foul language.

We are not able to edit them for language and refuse to be party to having that on our site.

If its clean and you are willing to put your name on it, then we are generally going to just post it, whether we agree with it or not. Dialogue is what we are looking for and what pushes us to write more. So please feel free to send us any and all of your comments.

Quite a few of you have sent us comments that you wished to NOT have published because of the source of the information. We will always protect your privacy if you do not wish to have your name or blogger id published.

I look forward to many more comments and new readers.


Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Eckstein continues clutch hitting as Padres win in 12

Tuesday August 25, 2009

The San Diego Padres' David Eckstein continued his white hot hitting in clutch situations as he drove in catcher Nick Hundley for what proved to be the winning run with 2 outs in the top of the 12th inning in Atlanta tonight.

Eckstein was hitting an incredible .366/.422/.561/.983 with runners in scoring position and 2 outs for the Padres this season coming into tonight's game.

Mat Latos, widely thought to be the savior for the beleaguered Padres pitching staff going into 2010, was dominating. Latos threw 7 scoreless innings, giving up just 2 hits and no walks while striking out 4 in just 89 pitches.

Heath Bell gave up 2 hits, a walk and 1 run in the 9th inning to blow his 3rd save of the season. Bell has saved 30 games while blowing just 3 save opportunities.

Braves rookie reliever Kris Medlen took the loss. Joe "Becky" Thatcher got the win and Edward Mujica got the save for the Padres.

Chula Vista Little League team struggles

Tuesday August 25, 2009

After dominating in its first two games, winning 15-0 and 14-0, the Chula Vista Little League team struggled against San Antonio, losing 6-3.

Padres injury woes continue

Tuesday August 25, 2009

First round draft pick Donavan Tate's professional debut will have to wait. He has officially been sidelined until Spring Training 2010 with what was originally described by the Padres as an abdominal strain and now is officially being called a "stress reaction to his pubic bone".

My flies on the wall have said that it is actually a tear of his inguinal ligament and that he tore it in batting practice on his first day as a Padre. It sure seems that Tate came in cold after not swinging a bat for months and just tried to do too much to impress the Padres players and brass.

In other injury news, Mike Adams, the Padres most effective reliever the past 2 months, was placed on the DL with an posterior? strain in his surgically repaired right shoulder.

While the Padres are claiming it is not in the same place as the torn labrum that was repaired surgically last season and caused Adams to miss the end of the 2008 and the first 2 months of the 2009 season, it obviously is related.

I would not expect to see Adams back this year or, if the Padres luck/curse continues, maybe not even the beginning of next year.

If it was not for a late rush/rash of injuries to New York Mets players, the Padres would once again be leading the league in player days on the DL. As it is they will come into the last days of the season neck and neck to set a new major league record for injuries.

If they win/lose the injury race, it will be the 2nd straight season that the Padres have set a major league record in player days on the disabled list.

Latos rebounds well

Tuesday August 25, 2009

After giving up 12 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings over his last two starts, San Diego Padres future ace Mat Latos rebounded well to hold the Atlanta Braves scoreless through 7 innings.

In a dominating performance, Latos allowed only 2 singles and no walks while striking out 4 in just 89 pitches.

In an effort by the Padres brass to not overtax his arm after he only pitched 56 innings in 2008, Latos is likely to get just one more start this season. This should bring his innings pitched to about 120 on the 2009 season between 3 levels of baseball.

Legions of Padres "stathead" fans are hoping that Latos doesn't pitch more than 5 1/3 innings in next start and keeps his major league innings pitched under 50 so that he will still be officially a rookie next season.

Unfortunately, the Padres bullpen, in a determined effort, blew the 1-0 lead Latos left them with. Luke Gregerson loaded the bases before getting through the 8th without giving up a run and in the 9th, Heath Bell gave up a two out single to blow his 3rd save of the season.

Gregerson and Bell gave up 3 times as many base runners in 2 innings than Latos gave up in 7 innings.

Another blown call by the Umps.

Tuesday August 25,2009

In a year that has been littered with an unusually large number of blown calls by the officials, Rick Reed, the 3rd base umpire in today's game between the San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field blew another obvious one.

A fan reached into the field and interfered with Kevin Kouzmanoff catching a foul ball. The umpire made no call on a play that was so obvious to everyone with better than 20/200 vision that mild mannered Padres manager Bud Black actually came onto the field to argue the play.

The good news is that the play did not contribute to a run being scored and thus didn't affect the result of the game as so many blown calls have.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

What are the Odds?

Sunday August 23, 2009

What are the odds that at the end of any given game that four players on one team will have the EXACT same batting average?

How about the odds that the 1st three batters in the order for one team would have the exact same batting average.

At the end of today's loss to the St Louis Cardinals, four Padres players had an identical .272 batting average.

#1 - Everth Cabrera, #2 - Tony Gwynn, #3 - Adrian Gonzales, #6 Will Venable.

Spooky isn't it.

Nearly as spooky as the fact that the Padres just cannot beat the Cardinals. 2 seasons, 14 games, 1 win.

Saturday, August 22, 2009

I hope what I am hearing is wrong

Saturday August 22, 2009

Earlier tonight I heard that Padres 1st round draft pick Donavan Tate, the kid that cost the Padres over $6 million to sign, tore a muscle in his ribcage while taking batting practice at Petco the day he signed.

Are the Padres cursed?

Tim Stauffer hurts himself after being drafted and is just now starting to live up to the talent we thought he had when drafted in 2003.

Matt Bush has a diseased brain that causes him to be a total loser.

Nick Schmidt is injured after just 7 IP in his first season in the organization and misses all of the 2008 season.

Allan Dykstra has a degenerative hip condition.

And now Tate injures himself taking batting practice on his first day in the organization.

Is there a Padres Draft Pick Curse?

Correia gets pounded

Saturday August 22, 2009

Kevin Correia once again demonstrated that he is what he is, a decent #4 or #5 pitcher on most major league staffs.

Even playing half his games in spacious Petco Park he is still giving up far too many home runs with men on base and his 4.46 ERA reflects that. He is league average in a park that favors pitchers. Not a good combination.

Hopefully next season he will learn to control his follow through so that he can be more consistent in his delivery and will be able to help Chris Young anchor a rotation that should include future ace Mat Latos, Tim Stauffer and Clayton Richard.

(That little pop to the left that his plant foot does on his follow through makes it harder to repeat his delivery and contributes to his pitches being up. Watch the replay of the game on the home runs and see if his left foot turns sharply towards 1st base as he is following through. I would be willing to bet it does.)

Tonight Correia gave up 5 earned runs on 10 hits and 2 walks with 2 home runs to the St Louis Cardinals in 5 innings pitched.

The Cardinals defeated the Padres for the 11th time in 12 games behind Chris Carpenter's 7 shut out innings of 3 hit ball. Matt Holliday's 3 run blast in the top of the 1st proved to be all the offense the Cardinals would need as they shut out the Padres for the 2nd time in 3 games.

The Padres offense, which had shown signs of improvements in games against other teams since the all star break, has been more anemic against the Cardinals than they have been overall this season.

Eckstein, "the heart and soul" of the Padres, signs extension for 2010

Saturday August 22, 2009

Today San Diego Padres GM Kevin Towers declared David Eckstein "the heart and soul for us" and signed Eckstein to a one year extension for $1 million through the 2010 season.

I don't know how others feel about this signing, but for me it was essential to the growth of a very young team. Eckstein provides leadership both in his words and in his actions.

Eckstein is a student of the game who excels not because of his physical talent, because he is not a player with tremendous physical tools. Eckstein has been able to continue to start at the major league level because he is a tireless worker and student of the game. He does all the little things right.

That is what this team needs most right now.

I know not a very popular opinion in a lot of places right now, but another player that does all the little things right is Brian Giles. He plays hard every moment of every game and excels at getting on base.

Giles has had a bad year due to an injury sustained in April and the distraction of a lawsuit, and at 37 he may not be an everyday starter in this league anymore, but if he would agree to a $1-2 million salary to return to San Diego in 2010 it would be a great signing for the San Diego Padres.

A player that provides the example on the field he does, hits the .270-.280 a healthy Giles is capable of and plays good defense is worth much more, but perhaps Giles would take a contract like that to finish his career in San Diego and go out on his own terms instead of hobbled by an injury.

A young team led by a budding superstar in Adrian Gonzalez and two vets who play the game right could be a team that surprises alot of the league in 2010.

Richard & defense sharp as Padres break losing streak

Friday August 21, 2009

Clayton Richard threw 6 shutout innings and Nick Hundley crushed a 3 run shot to lead the San Diego Padres to their first win over the St Louis Cardinals in 10 tries.

Richard allowed just 5 hits and 3 walks while striking outing 6 and lowered his ERA as a Padre to 3.67 to claim the win, his third straight decision.

After Albert Pujols narrowly missed catching a foul ball to shallow RF off Nick Hundley's bat in the 2nd, Hundley drove a pitch deep to LF to drive in Will Venable and Kyle Blanks. Kevin Kouzmanoff drove in Tony Gwynn with a single to center field in the 8th to pad the lead.

The Padres bullpen threw 3 perfect innings to preserve the win for Richard.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Krasovic edits his post after mistakes pointed out

Friday August 21, 2009

IT sure is nice to have an edit feature that allows you to go back and change your posts after someone points out how many times you are wrong.

Tom Krasovic made use of that feature liberally in his Draft,Moorad post on his blog.

Maybe if he had that feature and alot of fact checkers to make sure he wasn't saying something stupid for the umpteenth time, Krasovic would still be employed by the UT.

What do you think?

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Mat Latos starting to show signs of wearing down

Wednesday August 19, 2009

Promising San Diego Padres prospect Mat Latos is showing signs of tiring after throwing 109 2/3 innings this season over 3 levels of baseball from A ball to the majors.

Tonight he gave up 5 runs on 7 hits and 4 walks through 3 2/3 innings in the Padres 7-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs at Petco Park. He consistently left his pitches up in the zone and even though he was consistently hitting 96-97 mph on the gun, he got pounded in the 3rd and 4th innings.

With the Padres publicly saying they don't want him to go any more than double his 56 innings pitched in 2008, this was probably the last we will see of Latos starting for the Padres in 2009.

We may see a couple of outings from him coming out of the bullpen, but I doubt the Padres are willing to take a chance on him injuring himself just to extend his stay in San Diego in what is pretty much already a lost season for the team.

I would presume that after what we saw in his first 4 starts, Latos WILL be back in a Padres uniform to start the 2010 season.

Sean Gallagher is about ready to join the team and Carrillo redeemed himself in last nights start after a shaky 1st start, so Latos does not need to pitch just to fill a slot in the rotation.

Poreda may also be called up to fill his spot in the rotation.

Surprise Surprise Surprise - Krasovic misses the facts again

Wednesday August 19, 2009

At least he is consistent. Getting fired by the Union Tribune has not spurred Tom Krasovic into checking the facts before putting his opinion out there on his blog.

In his most recent blog post, Krasovic says "Breaking from their culture under Sandy Alderson ... the Padres are no longer predisposed to drafting a college player in the first round."

Unfortunately, once again he didn't check the facts. The Padres have taken a high school player in the first round each of 2006 to 2008. Decker, Cumberland and Burke.

Krasovic also says that in 1994 Moores "inherited a major league roster loaded with power arms".

Here is the roster.

Led by Joey Hamilton, the staff included Andy Ashby, Andy Benes, Glen Dishman and Fernando Valenzuela. Scott Sanders also had 15 starts.

Hamilton's fastball sat 90-92.
Ashby's fastball sat at 88 mph. Well actually 87.6 for his career, but I was giving him the benefit of the doubt.
Benes could bring it. A true power pitcher.
Fernando was a screw ball pitcher.
Dishman sat in the mid to high 80's
Sanders sat 90-92, Occasionally hitting 94. He jsut wasn't an effective pitcher.

You make up your own mind how loaded with power arms the 1995 team that went 70-74 was. I would guess one power pitcher of 5 makes it loaded in Krasovic's mind.

Krasovic also says that "the Padres are deep into talks with a switch-hitting, 16-year-old outfielder who'll likely join other newcomers at their Dominican complex by month's end. A $450,000 agreement is in place."

Jairo Kelly and Humberto Valor both signed contracts of about $135k. They were considered the 24th and 25th best International players to be available this season for free agent signings.

So who exactly is this mystery OUTFIELDER?
Here is the list of the top 25 players from Baseball America.

Do you see an outfielder on there?

Yup. Only one, Luis Jolly. He turned down a reported $850k to sign with the Phillies. Maybe he is the one who is going to sign with the Padres for $450k, but he is certainly not a mystery player. He did work out at the Padres facility on Thursday.

Perhaps its actually Edgar Ferreira, a LHP the Padres had work out for them on August 11th at their Dominican facility that they are about to sign?

Either way its not a secret that Krasovic is suddenly breaking the story on.

Krasovic quotes an unnamed "AL Talent evaluator" who says he likes Everett Williams because he is a "5-foot-10ish kid, but he's strong, he can hit, he's a good athlete".

Hey Kras, is this the same "Al Talent Evaluator" you quoted when you were still at the UT that said he didn't like Jaff Decker, because his body type would predispose him to getting chunky as he got older?

Decker, like Williams, is a 5'10" 190-200 lb kid that can hit, throw and steal bases.

Guess that fact escaped you when you wrote those articles about Williams.

Later in his blog post, Krasovic says that you have to credit Alderson with the Tate signing because he budgeted $6 million for the Padres first pick in the draft ("Credit Alderson for helping to lay the groundwork to the Tate deal") and then in the very next paragraph says, " Whether Alderson would've approved $6 million for a high school player, though, is questionable. The Padres took a college player first in all four of his years as CEO, and I'm told that wasn't coincidental."

You can't have it both ways Kras. Either Alderson is to be given credit for budgeting $6 million to sign Tate, or he isn't.

As to Alderson not signing High School players in the first round, see the first section of this article.

Krasovic says, "As a Diamondbacks executive, Moorad endorsed the first-round selection of "high upside" prep players such as Justin Upton and Jarrod Parker."

I guess he is trying to imply is that Moores and the Padres didn't take "high upside" prep players. We have already debunked that myth.

What Krasovic also conveniently leaves out is that the Diamondbacks picked 1st and 9th overall respectively to get those two players. The Padres have not picked in the top 16 since they took Matt Bush, a top 10 prep talent, in 2004.

I can't really find much Krasovic got correct in his blog post as usual.Don't they teach you to do FACT CHECKING in journalism classes in college? Or does Krasovic just intentionally choosing to avoid making sure his posts are factual in order to be more sensationalistic?

WOW! Two Milestones in one game!

Tuesday August 18, 2009

In a 6-3 win over the Chicago Cubs tonight at Petco Park, San Diego Padres players had two milestones.

Cesar Carrillo recorded his first Major League win and Kyle Blanks hit the Padres first inside the park home run at Petco Park.

Kevin Kouzmanoff went 3 for 4 with 2 rbi, Everth Cabrera continued to be hot going 2 for 4 with 2 runs scored, and Adrian Gonzalez added his 33rd home run, a solo shot in the 5th.

With the win tonight, the Padres have now won 3 of their last 4 series.

Monday, August 17, 2009

It may not be a good idea to walk Kouz to get to Blanks

Monday August 17, 2009

Cubs closer Kevin Gregg intentionally walked Kevin Kouzmanoff to get to Kyle Blanks and Blanks made him pay, hitting a walkoff 3 run home run for a 4-1 Padres win tonight at Petco Park.

Its Official, Padres sign Tate

Monday August 17, 2009

It is official now. The Padres have signed their top 4 draft picks!

#3 overall pick Donavan Tate's signing was made official today.

Paul DePodesta has a short post about it on his blog, It Might Be Dangerous... You Go First.

Interesting News about Padres deal with Tate

Mondy August 17, 2009

Peter Gammons of ESPN has interesting news about the Padres deal with Donavan Tate on his blog today.

According to Gammons, the Padres have had a $6.7 million deal done with Tate for 5 days, but the commissioners office would not approve it until late today so that it did not impact other signings.

Padres ink Williams and Sampson, Tate in San Diego

Monday August 17, 2009

Outstanding news on the draft for Padres fans.

According to Keith Law of ESPN, the Padres signed 2nd round pick Everett Williams to a $775,000 signing bonus.

Baseball America's Jim Callis reported earlier today that Padres 1st round pick Donavan Tate is in San Diego in preparation to sign his contract.

Andy Marks of the Ocala (FL) Star-Banner reported yesterday that 4th round pick Keyvius Sampson had signed a deal worth 2nd round money without specifying an amount. That means the deal is been bewtten $450k and $705k according to Marks. Sampson and the Padres reportedly agreed to terms last week, but it was officially accepted by Major League Baseball yesterday.

Sunday, August 16, 2009

OPS + and ERA + - Park independent stats

Sunday August 16, 2006

I know this is bout a week behind, but I thought it was an interesting study of how teams hitting and pitching was doing independent of the park they played in and how it related to win/loss.

I don't think that 8 games has changed these stats that much.

At the bottom of the page are the definitions and links to The Hardball Times.

American League

East W L Pct GB OPS+ ERA+
New York Yankees 67 42 0.615 -- 117 100
Boston Red Sox 62 46 0.574 4.5 100 113
Tampa Bay Rays 60 49 0.55 7 106 109
Toronto Blue Jays 52 57 0.477 15
101 104
Baltimore Orioles 46 64 0.418 21.5
93 92
Central W L Pct GB OPS+ ERA+
Detroit Tigers 58 50 0.537 -- 94 109
Chicago White Sox 56 54 0.509 3 93 112
Minnesota Twins 53 56 0.486 5.5
106 89
Cleveland Indians 47 62 0.431 11.5 100 89
Kansas City Royals 42 67 0.385 16.5 87 93
West W L Pct GB OPS+ ERA+
Los Angeles Angels 64 43 0.598 -- 107 94
Texas Rangers 61 47 0.565 3.5 100 106
Seattle Mariners 57 52 0.523 8 91 109
Oakland Athletics 48 61 0.44 17 90 93
National League

East W L Pct GB OPS+ ERA+
Philadelphia Phillies 61 46 0.57 -- 103 100
Florida Marlins 56 53 0.514 6
94 98
Atlanta Braves 56 54 0.509 6.5 97 111
New York Mets 51 58 0.468 11 94 97
Washington Nationals 38 72 0.345 24.5 100 85
Central W L Pct GB OPS+ ERA+
St. Louis Cardinals 60 51 0.541 -- 96 110
Chicago Cubs 57 50 0.533 1 89 116
Milwaukee Brewers 54 55 0.495 5 99 87
Houston Astros 54 55 0.495 5 95 96
Cincinnati Reds 47 61 0.435 11.5 80 100
Pittsburgh Pirates 45 64 0.413 14 92 92
West W L Pct GB OPS+ ERA+
Los Angeles Dodgers 67 43 0.609 -- 103 115
Colorado Rockies 60 49 0.55 6.5 98 108
San Francisco Giants 60 49 0.55 6.5 82 124
Arizona Diamondbacks 50 60 0.455 17 92 106
San Diego Padres 46 65 0.414 21.5 91 82

Adjusted OPS+

From Baseball Reference

1. Compute the runs created for the league with pitchers removed (basic form) RC = (H + BB + HBP)*(TB)/(AB + BB + HBP + SF)
2. Adjust this by the park factor RC' = RC*BPF

3. Assume that if hits increase in a park, that BB, HBP, TB increase at the some proportion.
4. Assume that Outs = AB - H (more or less) do not change at all as outs are finite.
5. Compute the number of H, BB, HBP, TB needed to produce RC', involves the quadratic formula. The idea for this came from the Willie Davis player comment in the Bill James New Historical Baseball Abstract. I think some others, including Clay Davenport have done some similar things.
6. Using these adjusted values compute what the league average player would have hit lgOBP*, lgSLG* in a park.
7. Take OPS+ = 100 * (OBP/lgOBP* + SLG/lgSLG* - 1)

8. Note, in my database, I don't store lgSLG, but store lgTB and similarly

OPS+ (Link) From THT

OPS measured against the league average, and adjusted for ballpark factors. An OPS+ over 100 is better than average, less than 100 is below average.

ERA+ (Link) From THT

ERA measured against the league average, and adjusted for ballpark factors. An ERA+ over 100 is better than average, less than 100 is below average.

4 straight losses. More to come?

Sunday August 16, 2009

The Padres were swept by the St Louis Cardinals and have looked horrible for 4 straight games.

They have made mental mistake after mental mistake and their young pitching has been pounded.

Even Heath Bell gave up 3 runs against just one out in today's game.

Looks like the short period where the Padres won 7 of 11 and 11 of 15 was a fluke.

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Carillo - 8 baserunners, 8 earned runs

Thursday August 13, 2009

The 13th was certainly unlucky for San Diegp Padres rookie pitcher Cesar Carrillo in his first ML start ever. He allowed 4 hits, 2 walks and hit 2 batters and it turned into 8 earned runs.

That is right EVERY base runner he allowed scored.

Granted one of those runners scored on a home run by Milwaukee Catcher Mike Rivera off Luis Perdomo, but 8 for 8 is extremely hard to do for any starter.

To get that unlikely line Carrillo had to give up 3 home runs in just 15 batters faced.

I would guess Carrillo will not be getting the start the next time the Padres have a need for a #5 starter on Tuesday against the Cubs.

Will it be Poreda or LeBlanc?

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Will Padres play themselves out of Top 10 draft pick?

Wednesday August 12, 2009

The San Diego Padres won their 7 game in August tonight and are playing well on both sides of the ball right now.

They have climbed from the 2nd worst to the 5th worst record in baseball in just the last 3 weeks.

Which begs the question, if the Padres keep playing this well, what draft pick will they get?

As recently as the All Star break, many people on the message boardsand the blogosphere (see the Padres ESPN forums, Friar Nation's board and the Gaslamp Ball) had been saying that the Padres should just throw in the towel and get the #1 overall pick in 2010, which is expected to be 16 yr old uber-prospect Bryce Harper.

Now it is looking like the Padres may not be in the top 5 or 6 (or bottom, depending on how you look at it) and maybe not the top 10 if they can continue to play above .500 ball the rest of the way this season.

With 47 games left if the Padres win 24 games, 1 game above .500, they will finish the season 73-89. That .451 winning percentage would place them 23rd in baseball today. If they continue to win at Augusts .636 clip, they would finish at 78-84 - a .481 winning percentage.

With the Reds, Mets, Brewers and Twins slumping right now and the Diamondbacks playing .452 ball, the Padres could conceivably find themselves in 18th or 19th place in baseball and out of the top 10 in next years June Amateur draft.

Would you be happy or a little sad if the Padres continue to play as well the rest of the season as they have since July 28th and lose out on a top 10 draft pick in 2010?

Padres win 2nd straight road game, series

Wednesday August 12, 2009

The San Diego Padres guaranteed themselves their second straight series win on the road with a 6-5 come from behind win over the Milwaukee Brewers tonight at Miller Park.

They can get their first road series sweep of the season, and their first sweep since May, with a win in tomorrow's 11:05 AM (PDT) game.

Kevin Correia went 6 innings, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks, for his Padres leading 8th win of the season.

Kevin Kouzmanoff went 3 for 4 to pace the Padres and drove in what proved to be the winning run in the top of the 7th.

Heath Bell came in to pitch the 9th for his National League leading 29th save.

Reliever Todd Coffey took the loss for the slumping Brewers, their 4th loss in 5 games. With the loss the Brewers are now 3 games under .500 at 55-58 and 7.5 games back in both the NL Central and the Wild Card race.

Hundley up, Alfonzo down

Wednesday August 12, 2009

Catcher Nick Hundley was taken off the DL and recalled to San Diego.

Hundley had been on the 15 day DL since June 18th with a contusion on his left wrist after being hit by a pitch by Dodgers pitcher Chad Billingsley on June 9th.

Hundley's .234 should be a boost for the Padres whose catching corp has hit just .201 since he went on the DL.

Eliezer Alfonzo, who has hit just .182/.204/.264/.467 since being called up June 19th, was opioned to AAA Portland.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009


Tuesday August 11, 2009

Adrian Gonzalez went 6 for 6 and the Padres 3-4-5 hitters went 12 for 16 to lead a 22 hit attack to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers 13-6 tonight at Miller Park.

It was a season high for hits and runs and Adrian entered the Padres record book by becoming one of only 4 to ever have a 6 hit game.

Of Padres starters, only David Eckstein did not have multiple hits. Will Venable continued his hot streak going 2 for 5 with a solo blast in the 2nd.

The newest Padre, Clayton Richard finally went 6 full innings to earn the win tonight.
His line: 6 IP, 6 hits, 4 ER, 2 BB, 3 K and 2 HR. His ERA is now 4.15, but an error by Gwynn was later changed and 2 runs added to his tally or his ERA would be lower.

Sunday, August 09, 2009

Hasn't Neely heard you dont talk about a streak during an inning?

Sunday August 9, 2009

With 2 outs in the top of the 6th inning, Padres announcer Mark Neely started talking about how effective the Padres bullpen had been during a 17 inning scoreless streak. I knew immediately that the streak was over and that the Mets were going to score before the inning was over.

Sure enough, one pitch later Mets starting pitcher Johann Santana hit a ball to Left Center that was misplayed by both Tony Gwynn Jr. AND then by Oscar Salazar on the relay. Jeff Franouer came in to score from 2nd and the bullpen's scoreless innings streak, and the Padres win streak, was over.

Edward Mujica went on to allow 3 runs, 2 unearned, and the Padres lost 5-1 to the New York Mets today at Petco Park, wasting another outstanding start from Tim Stauffer.

And I blame it entirely on Mark Neely.

Yes, I know its a silly superstition, but it has proven to be real so often that I believe it whole heartedly.

Its not Tony Gywnn's fault that he got a bad jump on the ball and did not call off Chase Headleys o there was a near collission that caused him to bobble the ball. Its not the fault of anyone else. They were all jinxed by Neely and his seemingly innocuous comments.

Before you say anything, its not because the Padres were facing the best pitcher in baseball, the Mets Johann Santana. IF the Mets are held there, the Padres did come back in the bottom of the inning and score a run. That WOULD have tied the game.

It was ALL Mark's fault.

So, Mark. In the future, NEVER, EVER talk about a streak during an inning. Wait until the people reposnisble for that streak are no longer on the field to mention the streak. That way you will not jinx the streak as you did today.

Saturday, August 08, 2009

Latos K's 7k in 4th win as a Padre

Saturday August 8, 2009

Mat Latos continued to impress in his 5th start as a Padre, striking out 7 while only allowing 4 hits and 1 run in 6 full innings to earn his 4th win as the Padres defeated the Mets 3-1 at Petco Park tonight.

Latos only mistake was a fastball to the light hitting Alex Cora in the 1st inning, who connected for a solo shot to right center. After that Latos settled down and recorded five scoreless innings.

The Padres were once again in double digits for hits. This is the 2nd time in the past 3 games and 8th time in the past 13 games that the Padres have had 10 or more hits. That is a very encouraging stat for a team that plays in the hardest park in baseball to hit in and has the lowest batting average and runs scored in baseball.

Tonights game was not without controversy as Everth Cabrera was called out on a play that he was obviously safe at home plate.

The Padres bullpen was once again outstanding as 4 pitchers combined for 3 scoreless innings and Heath Bell earned his 28th save of the season.

Was Barksdale the Umpire In Colorado in 2007?

Saturday August 8, 2009

In the worst blown call by an umpire since game 163 in 2007 when Holliday never touched home plate, home plate umpire Lance Barksdale called Everth Cabrera out on a play in which he was clearly safe in the bottom of the 5th inning.

Manager Bud Black was thrown out of the game for arguing the call.

Now Black will be fined for being thrown out of the game. A MINIMUM of $25,000.

Will Barksdale be fined or be suspended because he missed such an obvious play that he was in the perfect position to see?

If the Padres lose the game by a single run will the commissioners office make the Mets come back and play it over from that point on?

Of course not. Umpires get to act with complete impunity. No matter how bad they are or the result of their mistakes, they cannot be punished in any way.

Its a joke.

There needs to be instant replay for plays like that. They did it for home runs, its time to add plays at the plate. Its also time to give managers a red flag so they can challenge any call.

I also think that in this case, Barksdale should pay Black's fine. It won't give the run back or the game back if it results in a Padres loss, but it would take some of the sting out of a horrid call by the umpire.

(note: If I mispelled anything sorry. No spell check on my Crackberry.)

Friday, August 07, 2009

Cabrera giveth and Cabrera taketh away

Friday August 7, 2009

In the 1st inning an error by Everth Cabrera led to the New York Mets only two runs of game.

Known for his speed on the base paths not his power, Cabrera atoned for his early miscue by hitting hitting a walk off grand slam off Mets closer Francisco Rodriguez in the bottom of the 9th to give the Padres a 6-2 win. It was KRod's 5th blown save of the year and the slumping Mets 7th loss in the last 10 games.

Kevin Correia looked snake bit after that error allowing 6 hits, 2 walks and 2 unearned runs on 67 pitches through 3 innings. He then settled down allowing only just one Met to reach base over the next 3 innings. His line 6 IP, 7 Hits, 2 Runs, 0 ER, 2 BB, 0 HR to lower his ERA to 4.51 on the season.

After 2 scoreless innings from Joe Thatcher and Mike Adams, Heath Bell came in and pitched a scoreless 9th to earn the win, his 4th of the season.

Former Padre Oliver Perez pitched 6 1/3 innings of 2 hit ball striking out 7 and giving up just a single run before giving way to Brian Stokes in the 7th. Perez has literally had an up and down year after signing a 3 year $36 million contract in the off season, being sent down to AAA on several occasions and throwing just 48.2 innings with a 7.03 ERA coming into tonight's game.

Padres recall reliever Webb to take Gaudin's place on roster

Friday August 7, 2009

The San Diego Padres recalled right handed reliever Ryan Webb from AAA Portland to take Chad Gaudin's place on the 25 man roster.

Webb who came over in the trade that sent Scott Hairston to the Oakland A's, will likely be sent down again on Thursday when the Padres need a starter to fill Gaudin's spot in the rotation.

Gaudin was sent to the New York Yankees for a bag of balls or a PTBNL yesterday.

Thursday, August 06, 2009

Pads Win, Pads Win, Pads Win

Thursday August 6, 2009

The Padres recorded double digit hits for the 3rd time in this home stand, new Padre Clayton Richard got his first win with the team and they defeat the New York Mets 8-3 tonight at Petco Park.

Adrian Gonzalez continued his hot hitting with a sac fly and a 2 run home run, his 29th of the season, to drive in 3 runs. Henry Blanco went 3 for 4 and David Eckstein walked, hit a double and scored 2 runs.

The only blemishes on an otherwise great game on both sides of the ball was 3 walks by starter Richard and an error by Tony Gwynn Jr with 2 out in the 6th inning.

Richard pitches well in his 2nd outing

Thursday August 6, 2009

In an otherwise outstanding outing against the New York Mets at Petco tonight, 3 walks and an error by Tony Gwynn Jr. in the 6th inning limited Clayton Richard's 2nd start as a San Diego Padre to 5 2/3 innings.

The Padres offense put up 7 runs in the first 3 innings paced by Adrian Gonzalez's 29th home run and 3 rbi to stake Richard to a big lead and he responded with 5 strong innings.

His line - 5.2 IP/5 hits/3 runs/0 earned runs/4 walks/5 k's/0 home runs.
Richard threw 99 pitches, 60 for strikes, before being pulled after walking Omir Santos.

Yahoo seems to think that the runs were earned, but since there was an error, none of the runs that followed are earned. Regardless, if the bullpen can hold the lead, Richard will end the evening with his 2nd win in a Padres uniform.

Padres extend Black's contract

Thursday August 6, 2009

In a long rumored move, today the San Diego Padres officially extended the contract of manager Bud Black through the 2010 season with a club option for 2011.

As many of you kn ow, I have called for Black's head at times, but he cannot be blamed for the MLB record rash of injuries or the number of minor league players he has had to write into his lineup each game that has caused this team to lose so many games in 2008 and 2009.

The Padres have given Black an opportunity to be around when this team begins to compete in the NL West again.

Gaudin Traded to Yankees

Thursday August 6, 2009

The San Diego Padres traded Chad Gaudin to the New York Yankees today for the PTBNL.

After his 4th straight loss in his last outing, it is surprising that the streaking Yankees traded for him.

Who will be added to the roster to take his place in the rotation?

Since the Padres don't have to make a decision until next Thursday's game in Milwaukee its unlikely they will make that call yet. My money would be on LeBlanc or Carrillo with Poreda also being an option.

Wednesday, August 05, 2009

Gaudin gets pounded - Again!

Wednesday August 5, 2009

Chad Gaudin has been showing why the Cubs cut him loose before the season in his last few outings and today's game should be the nail in his coffin.

In his 4th consecutive loss today Gaudin gave up 9 hits, 2 walks and 6 runs in 3.1 innings to the Atlanta Braves to raise his ERA to 5.13 on the season.

If his burgeoning ERA isn't enough, his ludicrous 54 BB in 105 innings should be enough to punch his ticket for the pen or the minors. Occasionally the guy will pitch a good game, (5 quality starts in his last 13 starts since the beginning of June) but the bad games FAR outweigh anything positive he has done recently.

So who is the next young gun to get a shot at the Padres starting rotation?
LeBlanc again? Frieri? Carrillo?

On a side note:
Have you noticed how well Joe "Becky" Thatcher pitches with nothing on the line and his team down by a ton of runs? His BAA with the bases empty is .220. In appearances where the team is down by 4 + runs he has a sub 1.00 ERA and the opposing team hits .222.

Have you also noticed how absolutely putrid he is with men on base and the lead on the line? The guy has pitched in 24 games and has ZERO holds. Not a single one. With RISP he has a .318 BAA and has allowed a .484 OBP. In late and close games opposing batters hit .75 and in tie games the opposing team bats .500 with a .667 OBP!!

In other words the guy CHOKES with men in scoring position or in anything resembling a pressure situation.

Can you say head case?

Saturday, August 01, 2009

5 straight wins!

Saturday August 1, 2009

The San Diego Padres won their fifth straight game tonight 4-2 over the Milwaukee Brewers at Petco Park.

The newest Padre, Clayton Richard, threw 5 2/3 innings of 2 hit ball, Kevin Kouzmanoff went 2-3 and drove in his 58th RBI and Will Venable hit his 4th home run of the season.

And Krasovic says this is the least talented team in baseball?

I can't wait to see what this team can do when they stay healthy.

Believe it or not, the Padres now have a .500 record at home - 26-26.

Can the Padres get the sweep over the slumping Brewers?

Newest Padre carries No Hitter into the 5th

Saturday August 1, 2009

The newest Padres pitcher, Clayton Richard, carried a no hitter into the 5th inning against the Milwaukee Brewers before having it broken up by a 1 out single by Mike Cameron.

He also had a shutout through 5 2/3. Then with 2 out in the 6th, Fielder crushed a ball to RF and that was all for Richard. His line: 5 2/3 IP, 2 hits 3 BB, 5 k and 1 run.

All in all he did very well in his Padres debut.

Then the bullpen came in and it took one whole pitch to blow it.

I don't know if anyone noticed, but the left handed Richard threw as hard or harder than Peavy, hitting 94-96 consistently with his fastball. How long has been since a Padres lefty threw mid 90's ?